Can Silverlight Take Over from Flex?

ComputerWorld has an interesting article titled 6 factors that will decide the fate of Silverlight. The 6 factors are: Microsoft's technology on the web, the enduring appeal of Flash development, wider cross platform support, interest beyond traditional developers, AJAX et al, and co-existence in the market.

The writer obviously did a lot of research in putting that article together, since he's got quotes from a number of top people, including Jesse Warden, a long time Flash developer, Greg deMichillie, an analyst from Directions on Microsoft, and Michael Cote from Redmonk.

Obviously Flex has the lead right now for RIA development. The article says that its "hugely popular", and Silverlight has "yet to take off". Jesse gives some quotes about Flash and Flex development, saying "there is more money in it", and that most of the work for Silverlight "is because the company is a Microsoft partner."

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I think there's an important

I think there's an important factor missing there, and thats money. MS have the money to push large companies to use it i.e. the partnering Jesse mentions.

Adobe also has the edge

Adobe also has the edge because it has been available in a production mode for 3+ years. It is an interesting study / debate. I personally think the issue is the designer vs. engineer. with the RIA skill set being the hybrid of each. MS is not known to attract the designer so this is a hurdle they will need to overcome.

I agree @Chris Chodnicki ...

I agree @Chris Chodnicki ...

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